Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 1.288029 1.586365 1.975225 2.537029 3.361093 4.587063 6.690357
2025-03-30 0.909148 1.230983 1.718937 2.575307 4.211658 7.730760 18.547236
2025-04-06 0.702746 1.004638 1.505747 2.505064 4.830483 11.803237 57.616484
2025-04-13 0.580730 0.862007 1.360008 2.454225 5.457078 18.018463 327.136606
2025-04-20 0.526392 0.812903 1.356801 2.692174 7.208276 39.350099 NaN
2025-04-27 0.476438 0.757825 1.321247 2.834457 9.010742 93.843674 NaN
2025-05-04 0.427099 0.692926 1.244901 2.825137 10.292554 225.484524 NaN
2025-05-11 0.381331 0.626598 1.148075 2.706316 10.886119 529.495470 NaN
2025-05-18 0.353934 0.591866 1.114704 2.775930 13.029851 9214.242605 NaN
2025-05-25 0.334688 0.570310 1.106986 2.934470 16.733694 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.311736 0.537557 1.063862 2.939959 19.338437 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.287095 0.498113 0.995821 2.813505 20.066329 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.274558 0.483793 0.992515 2.971640 26.704338 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.259113 0.461239 0.962680 2.999523 32.190672 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.242129 0.433369 0.913004 2.908207 34.701431 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.227771 0.409997 0.872276 2.844464 38.257092 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.223421 0.408960 0.895885 3.139886 64.432837 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.216396 0.400836 0.896815 3.317860 100.517419 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.206322 0.384427 0.869222 3.306162 126.469764 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.194726 0.363387 0.823961 3.157490 129.234579 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.188151 0.353934 0.814244 3.244513 197.170446 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.183705 0.349230 0.819114 3.443530 422.368698 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 0.176752 0.337698 0.799447 3.450440 666.031480 NaN NaN